Vital signs analysis algorithm detects inflammatory response in premature infants with late onset sepsis and necrotizing enterocolitis

Mithal, L. B.; Yogev, R.; Palac, H. L.; Kaminsky, D.; Gur, I.; Mestan, K. K.

Early Hum Dev. 2018 Jan 21; 117:83-89

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Nonspecific clinical signs and suboptimal diagnostic tests limit accurate identification of late onset sepsis (LOS) and necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in premature infants, resulting in significant morbidity and antibiotic overuse. An infant's systemic inflammatory response may be identified earlier than clinical suspicion through analysis of multiple vital signs by a computerized algorithm (RALIS). AIM: To evaluate the revised RALIS algorithm for detection of LOS and NEC in preterm infants. METHODS: In this nested case-control study, VS data (heart rate, respiratory rate, temperature, desaturations, bradycardias) were extracted from medical records of infants 23-32weeks gestation. RALIS generated an output, with score>/=5 triggering an alert. Patient episodes were classified based on culture, radiograph, and antibiotic data into categories: LOS, expanded LOS, NEC, and controls. Paired t-tests, linear regression and cross-validation analyses were used to evaluate the relationship between RALIS alert and LOS/NEC. RESULTS: Among 155 infants with 161 episodes, there were 41 expanded LOS (+blood, CSF, urine, respiratory culture), 31 LOS (+blood, CSF, urine), 9 NEC, and 93 controls. RALIS alert was 43.1+/-79h before culture in LOS (p=.012). There was a significant association between RALIS alert and LOS/NEC (beta=0.72, p<.0001). Sensitivity and specificity for LOS/NEC were 84% and 80%, (PPV=63%; NPV=93%). The regression model demonstrated an AUC of 89.9%. CONCLUSIONS: For infants

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